Impact of exposure spatial resolution on seismic loss estimates in regional portfolios

نویسندگان

چکیده

The spatial resolution of exposure data has a substantial impact on the accuracy and reliability seismic risk estimates. While several studies have investigated influence geographical detail urban in earthquake loss models, there is also need to understand its implications at regional scale. This study investigates effects European model resulting estimates by simulating dozens site models (630 models) representing wide range assumptions related geo-resolution exposed asset locations associated conditions. Losses are examined terms portfolio average annual (AAL) return period losses national sub-national levels. results indicate that neglecting uncertainty their conditions within an can introduce significant bias results. demonstrate disaggregating grid or weighting/relocating properties using density map built areas improve estimated losses.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1573-1456', '1570-761X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-021-01194-x